Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 3.531587 3.753684 3.990535 4.263313 4.570576 4.908122 5.309978
2024-10-27 3.154113 3.436417 3.751311 4.132627 4.587572 5.120657 5.804683
2024-11-03 3.007446 3.351453 3.751568 4.260244 4.903651 5.711552 6.841018
2024-11-10 2.909703 3.310899 3.796277 4.443474 5.312661 6.489197 8.307570
2024-11-17 2.719282 3.140203 3.664059 4.387735 5.405800 6.871015 9.344346
2024-11-24 2.539727 2.968318 3.514314 4.291526 5.430256 7.163855 10.354548
2024-12-01 2.396217 2.831698 3.398631 4.228986 5.495047 7.536678 11.668688
2024-12-08 2.277555 2.719046 3.305537 4.188194 5.587726 7.981940 13.365325
2024-12-15 2.210490 2.670197 3.295453 4.267467 5.884963 8.872750 16.683111
2024-12-22 2.077985 2.524011 3.137457 4.106131 5.757094 8.930209 17.963603
2024-12-29 2.014634 2.469500 3.106841 4.140270 5.976373 9.768571 22.568327
2025-01-05 1.947553 2.405607 3.057578 4.139146 6.133017 10.537625 28.373863
2025-01-12 1.847051 2.297491 2.947981 4.050453 6.156449 11.137117 36.141560
2025-01-19 1.745995 2.183249 2.821655 3.921586 6.082323 11.487777 44.914413
2025-01-26 1.707778 2.158255 2.830801 4.029776 6.530655 13.649026 99.363590
2025-02-02 1.681571 2.149260 2.864461 4.188523 7.149468 17.113413 1993.950308
2025-02-09 1.615023 2.075539 2.788093 4.132411 7.249646 18.800133 NaN
2025-02-16 1.547512 1.996919 2.698439 4.041071 7.243485 20.099498 NaN
2025-02-23 1.490971 1.932458 2.628232 3.980987 7.311277 22.028681 NaN
2025-03-02 1.442285 1.877838 2.571061 3.941204 7.430555 24.666460 NaN
2025-03-09 1.414879 1.855086 2.566545 4.009769 7.894533 31.454184 NaN
2025-03-16 1.355591 1.779198 2.465399 3.862860 7.656789 31.480956 NaN
2025-03-23 1.327139 1.751250 2.446485 3.891793 7.999663 39.640028 NaN